New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The New York Mets (27-36) and Philadelphia Phillies (45-19) wrap up a 2-game London Series at London Stadium Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 a.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 4-1

The Phillies picked up a 7-2 win Saturday at London Stadium as moderate favorites (-157) with the Under (9.5) just hanging on. 1B Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with a solo HR and pleased the crowd with a soccer-esque celebration a la Manchester City’s Jack Grealish after scoring a goal.

Philadelphia, which owns the best record in the majors, has won 4 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 games. The pitching staff has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those 8 games, too. The Under is on an impressive 8-0-1 run in the past 9 games, and 11-2-1 in the past 14 outings.

The Mets saw a modest 3-game winning streak come to a close, while going 5-3 in the past 8 outings. The Under cashed, snapping a 5-0-1 run to the Over.

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Mets vs. Phillies projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Quintana (1-5, 5.17 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks June 2
• 2024 daytime splits: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (28 IP, 12 ER), 1.07 WHIP, .216 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 4 HR, 8 BB, 19 K in 5 starts
• Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 0-2, 3.72 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 10 starts dating back to 2013
• 2024 vs. Phillies: 1 start, no-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-5 road win in 11 innings May 16

Walker (3-1, 5.73 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 37 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-4 home loss in 10 innings vs. St. Louis Cardinals June 2
• 2024 daytime splits: 2-1, 5.89 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.64 WHIP, .338 OBA, 3 HR, 5 BB, 12 K in 3 starts
• Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 7 starts dating back to 2014
• 2024 vs. Mets: 1 start, no-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 6-5 home loss in 11 innings May 16

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Mets vs. Phillies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Phillies -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-162) | Phillies -1.5 (+134)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

Mets vs. Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 8, Mets 5

Moneyline

First-place PHILADELPHIA (-142) is a solid play to secure the 2-game London Series sweep, but don’t be surprised if there are plenty of twists and turns along the way.

Walker has been very giving in his 7 starts to date, but the Mets (+120) have the southpaw Quintana going, and he has also been hit hard at times this season.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, Philadelphia -1.5 (+134) at plus-money is worth a look. However, play one or the other as it makes little sense to bet both the moneyline and the run line.

The Phillies pounded the Mets Saturday, but Walker is a little less of a sure thing since he has been knocked around at times. Still, with the Philadelphia offense backing him, it should result in another win for the powerhouse Phils.

Over/Under

OVER 10.5 (-106) might be the best play on the board.

The Philadelphia offense picked up 7 runs in Saturday’s game at London Stadium, but the New York offense wasn’t able to follow suit. However, the Mets could get well against Walker, who has coughed up at least 1 HR in 6 of his 7 starts, including a total of 8 long balls in just 37 2/3 innings.

The Over is 2-0-1 in Quintana’s past 3 starts outside of Citi Field, including an Over result against the Phillies May 16. The Over is 6-1 in Walker’s 7 starts this season.

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